152915. Randolph [5.188.211.35] 03 Nov 2019 - 04:09
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First, I show that the negative association between aggregate employment growth and minimum wages can also be found using the QCEW data, especially since mid-1990s. (I do find that controlling for population growth, which Meer and West do not, diminishes the estimates by around a third). This means there isnโt anything special about the BDS data or the sample that they use. But here is the surprising finding:รยรย this negative association is particularly strong in manufacturing, a sector with virtually no minimum wage workers. And yet, the negative association is absent in both retail and accommodation and food services, two low wage sectors that together account for nearly 2/3 of all minimum wage workers. In other words,รยรย minimum wages are indeed associated with lower employment growth, but exactly in the wrong places for the correlation to reflect a causal impact.
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